Key Takeaways
- The US home services market is $842.04 billion in 2026, projected to reach $989.22 billion by 2031 at 3.27% a year (Mordor Intelligence).
- Remodeling and repair spending on owner-occupied homes is projected at about $522 billion for 2026, with growth easing through the year (Harvard JCHS).
- 92% of construction firms in AGC's 2025 survey, mostly commercial, report trouble filling hourly craft positions.
- 45% of consumers now use AI tools for local business recommendations, up from 6% a year earlier, and 97% read reviews (BrightLocal, 2026).
- Home & Home Improvement leads average $42.95 on Facebook and $90.92 on Google Search (WordStream/LocalIQ).
Every figure below comes from a named, published source listed at the bottom of the page, with its date. Earlier versions of this page carried trade-by-trade market sizes, business counts and adoption rates we couldn't trace to any study; we removed them rather than keep a longer list.
Market Size and Growth
- US home services market: $842.04 billion in 2026, projected to reach $989.22 billion by 2031, a 3.27% compound annual growth rate (Mordor Intelligence).
- Mordor attributes the demand to an ageing housing stock, homeowners staying put because of higher mortgage rates, and a shift from one-off repairs toward maintenance plans.
- Home remodeling and repair spending on owner-occupied homes: projected at about $522 billion for 2026, with growth easing from 2.9% early in the year to 1.6% by the fourth quarter (Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity).
The Workforce
- 92% of construction firms responding to AGC's 2025 Workforce Survey (mostly commercial contractors) said they had trouble filling hourly craft positions.
- Employment of HVAC mechanics and installers is projected to grow 8% from 2024 to 2034, with about 40,100 openings a year, from a base of about 425,200 workers (Bureau of Labor Statistics).
- The federal homeowner tax credits have ended: 25D (solar and battery storage) for expenditures made after December 31, 2025, and 25C (heat pumps and efficiency upgrades) for property placed in service after that date, removing a demand driver for those trades.
How Homeowners Choose
From BrightLocal's Local Consumer Review Survey 2026, a representative panel of 1,002 US adults:
- 97% of consumers read reviews when choosing a local business, and 41% say they always do, up from 29% a year earlier.
- 45% now use AI tools such as ChatGPT to get recommendations for local businesses, up from 6% a year earlier.
- 68% require at least a 4-star rating, up from 55%; 31% will only use a business rated 4.5 stars or higher, up from 17%.
- 47% won't use a business with fewer than 20 reviews.
That jump in AI use matters for contractors: answer engines draw on reviews, your Google Business Profile and pages that answer questions plainly. The businesses they recommend tend to be the ones with clear, consistent, well-reviewed information.
Advertising Costs
- Facebook, Home & Home Improvement: $42.95 average cost per lead, $2.18 cost per click, 5.32% conversion rate (WordStream/LocalIQ, 2026).
- Google Search, Home & Home Improvement: $90.92 average cost per lead, $8.33 cost per click, 8.05% conversion rate (WordStream/LocalIQ, 13,474 US search campaigns, April 2025 to March 2026).
- Blended B2C home-services cost per lead: about $144, with an industry-wide conversion rate around 7.8% (WebFX, 2026).
Lead Response
- Companies that tried to contact a web lead within an hour were nearly 7 times as likely to qualify it as those that waited longer (Harvard Business Review, 2011).
- Reaching a lead was 100 times more likely when called within 5 minutes rather than 30 (MIT and InsideSales.com, 2007).
Local Search
- In Whitespark's 2026 Local Search Ranking Factors survey of 47 local-search practitioners, proximity accounts for roughly 55% of local pack outcomes, and Google Business Profile signals for roughly 32% of the weight a business can influence.
For trade-specific costs and what they mean for your budget, see our industry pages and the CPL benchmarks guide.
Sources
The public studies behind the figures on this page, with what each one was used for. Last verified 2026-09-25.
- 1Mordor Intelligence — US Home Service Market Size & Share Outlook to 2031
2026. Market size ($842.04 billion in 2026; $989.22 billion by 2031; 3.27% CAGR) and demand drivers, from the report's public summary.
- 2Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies — Remodeling Growth Set to Downshift in Late 2026
2026 · Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA). Projected 2026 remodeling and repair spending (about $522 billion) and the quarterly growth path.
- 3Associated General Contractors of America — Construction Workforce Shortages Are Leading Cause Of Project Delays
August 2025. Share of contractors reporting difficulty filling hourly craft positions (92%).
- 4U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Occupational Outlook Handbook: Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
2024-34 projections. HVAC employment (about 425,200), projected growth (8%) and annual openings (about 40,100).
- 5BrightLocal — Local Consumer Review Survey 2026
2026 · Representative SurveyMonkey panel of 1,002 US adult consumers. Review reading (97%; 41% always), AI use for local recommendations (45%), star-rating thresholds (68% at 4+, 31% at 4.5+) and the 20-review threshold (47%).
- 6WordStream — Facebook Ads Benchmarks 2026
2026. Facebook Home & Home Improvement cost per lead, cost per click and conversion rate.
- 7WordStream — Google Ads Benchmarks 2026: Competitive Data for Every Industry
Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · 13,474 US search campaigns. Google Search Home & Home Improvement cost per lead, cost per click and conversion rate.
- 8WebFX — 2026 Home Services Marketing Benchmarks
2026 · Analysis across 24 home services sub-industries. Blended B2C home-services cost per lead (about $144) and conversion rate (about 7.8%).
- 9Harvard Business Review — The Short Life of Online Sales Leads (Oldroyd, McElheran & Elkington)
March 2011 · Audit of 2,241 US companies plus a separate analysis of 1.25 million leads at 29 B2C and 13 B2B US companies; the 7x and 60x figures come from the lead analysis. The 7x qualification figure for response within an hour.
- 10InsideSales.com and MIT Sloan School of Management (Dr James Oldroyd) — Lead Response Management Study
October 2007. The 100x contact figure for 5-minute versus 30-minute response.
- 11Whitespark — Local Search Ranking Factors 2026
2026 · Survey of 47 local search practitioners. Proximity and Google Business Profile weights in local pack rankings.